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Oil hovers at 8-month lows as U.S. fears offset Mideast tensions

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A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo
A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. Oil futures dropped in trading due to fears of a US recession. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo

By Erwin Seba

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil fell in volatile trade on Monday as a selloff continued on global stock markets, but the slide was limited by fears Iran’s retaliation for the assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran may lead to a wider war in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures settled down 51 cents, or 0.66%, at $76.30 a barrel, with prices earlier trading around their lowest levels since January. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 58 cents, or 0.79%, at $72.94.

Equities markets tumbled from Asia to North America as investors fled riskier assets while wagering that rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will be needed to drive U.S. economic growth.

“The stock market was falling as the (Friday) jobs report has the market convinced that the Fed once again fell behind the curve,” Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group, wrote in a morning note.

Worries over further possible supply disruptions from a wider Middle East war limited oil’s losses throughout the day.

Israel and the U.S. are bracing for a serious escalation in the region after Iran and its allies Hamas and Hezbollah pledged to retaliate against Israel for the killings of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and a top Hezbollah military commander last week.

Oil traders are expecting Iran’s response to be short in duration, making crude futures more vulnerable to fears of a U.S. recession like those that roiled markets on Monday, said John Kilduff, founding partner of Again Capital LLC.

“If this passes quickly, crude oil prices will join this enormous dour party and prices will spiral out of control,” Kilduff said.

Slumping diesel consumption in China, the world’s biggest contributor to oil demand growth, is also weighing on oil.

(Reporting by Erwin Seba; Additional reporting by Paul Carsten and Alex Lawler in London and Florence Tan in Singapore; Editing by David Goodman, Jan Harvey, Jonathan Oatis and Paul Simao)

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